DIW Berlin – Discussion Papers 1539
The Fehmarnbelt is a strait between Denmark and Germany, which is currently crossed by a ferry. The discussion paper analyses the theory of competition between the ferry and the planned fixed Fehmarnbelt crossing.
Impact of the liberalisation of road freight transport between the EU and Turkey
The study was prepared by ICF International, TRT Trasporti e Territorio and DIW Econ and published by the European Commission (Directorate-General for Mobility and Transport).
Road freight transport between the EU and Turkey is currently regulated by bilateral intergovernmental agreements between EU Member States and Turkey.
Impact of the liberalisation of road freight transport between the EU and Ukraine
The study was prepared by ICF International, TRT Trasporti e Territorio and DIW Econ and published by the European Commission (Directorate-General for Mobility and Transport).
Road freight transport between the EU and Ukraine is currently regulated by bilateral intergovernmental agreements between EU Member States and Ukraine.
How reliable are the profitability analyses for the fixed link across the Fehmarnbelt?
Financing model and cost-benefit analysis put to the test
Scandlines ApS commissioned DIW Econ to prepare an analysis of the fixed link across the Fehmarnbelt.
Current studies on the fixed link across the Fehmarnbelt paint an optimistic picture when they conclude that the tunnel is worthwhile both from an economic and a macroeconomic perspective. The available analyses cannot confirm these assessments. On the contrary, they show that the economic viability of the fixed link is at risk.
Statement on the current cost-benefit analysis for a fixed link across the Fehmarnbelt
On behalf of Scandlines, DIW Econ has examined the current cost-benefit analysis of the planned fixed link across the Fehmarn Belt from 2015.
The result shows that despite a consistently optimistic choice of parameters and methodological shortcomings, the net benefit of the project is relatively low. The assessment of possible project risks in the sensitivity analysis is insufficient.