DIW Berlin – Discussion Papers 1539
The Fehmarnbelt is a strait between Denmark and Germany, which is currently crossed by a ferry. The discussion paper analyses the theory of competition between the ferry and the planned fixed Fehmarnbelt crossing.
Financing model and cost-benefit analysis put to the test
Scandlines ApS commissioned DIW Econ to prepare an analysis of the fixed link across the Fehmarnbelt.
Current studies on the fixed link across the Fehmarnbelt paint an optimistic picture when they conclude that the tunnel is worthwhile both from an economic and a macroeconomic perspective. The available analyses cannot confirm these assessments. On the contrary, they show that the economic viability of the fixed link is at risk.
On behalf of Scandlines, DIW Econ has examined the current cost-benefit analysis of the planned fixed link across the Fehmarn Belt from 2015.
The result shows that despite a consistently optimistic choice of parameters and methodological shortcomings, the net benefit of the project is relatively low. The assessment of possible project risks in the sensitivity analysis is insufficient.
Sharing resources over the Internet – the so-called Sharing Economy – has become a business model for intermediary services such as Uber or Airbnb. At the same time, however, the rapid rise of these services has led to controversial discussions focusing on possible consumer benefits, risks for established providers and business models, and the need for action to ensure fair competition.
A joint study by DIW Econ and DICE Consult, commissioned by Uber, shows the opportunities and advantages that can arise for consumers when urban mobility and taxi markets are opened up.
On behalf of Scandlines, DIW Econ has examined the current traffic forecast for the planned fixed link across the Fehmarn Belt from 2014.
The result shows: The majority of the reported additional traffic volume on the fixed link is due to uncertain forecasts.